2015年9月11日 星期五

Eli Lilly Analysis --- II

9/11/2015 12:11:00 上午 Posted by Unknown , , No comments

1.  Fundamental Financial Data

Eli Lilly's Free Cash Flow
USD Mil
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Operating Cash Flow
1914
3976
5155
7296
4336
6857
7235
5305
5735
4367
Cap Spending
-1298
-1078
-1082
-947
-855
-1187
-1693
-1044
-1093
-1471
Free Cash Flow
616
2898
4072
6348
3481
5670
5542
4261
4642
2896
Free Cash Flow/Sales
4.2
18.47
21.85
31.15
15.94
24.57
22.82
18.85
20.08
14.76

Eli Lilly's Profitability Numbers
 
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Operating Margin
24.91
26.29
21.77
3.4
25.59
28.3
22.76
23.93
23.24
16.97
Net Margin
13.52
16.97
15.85
-10.17
19.82
21.97
17.9
18.09
20.27
12.19
Asset Turnover
0.59
0.67
0.76
0.73
0.77
0.79
0.75
0.66
0.66
0.54
Return on Assets
8.01
11.44
12.12
-7.4
15.28
17.34
13.45
12.01
13.45
6.6
Financial Leverage
2.28
2
1.96
4.34
2.88
2.5
2.49
2.33
2
2.42
Return on Equity
18.24
24.46
23.96
-20.31
53.25
46.2
33.49
28.89
28.92
14.49

Eli Lilly's Revenue Growth
 
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Year over Year
5.68
7.14
18.75
9.36
7.15
5.68
5.25
-6.93
2.26
-15.13
3-Year Average
9.75
7.64
10.37
11.64
11.65
7.39
6.02
1.16
0.05
-6.87
10-Year Average
8.03
7.88
8.14
8.23
8.12
7.83
7.72
7.39
6.27
3.54

Facing a very steep patent cliff in 2014, Eli Lilly got a pretty low ROA and ROE comparing previous year. In addition, Eli Lilly confronted lowest YOY revenue growth rate. However, the good news is Eli Lilly had a stable positive free cash flow in past ten years.


2.  Segment Sales




Eli Lilly’s largest portion of revenue is from Endocrinology drugs followed by Neuroscience drugs and Oncology drugs. Animal health segment had a better profit margin comparing to human pharmaceutical products.

3.  Industry Overview






Eli Lilly’s gross profit is higher than industry average. However, its profit margin didn’t higher than industry average. The reason is that Eli Lilly tends to spend over 20% of its sales on R&D, much higher than the industry average. Before 2014, Eli Lilly’s ROA and ROE are higher than industry average. However, it’s ROA and ROE in 2014 are much lower than industry average.

Reference: Data from Morningstar.com and Eli Lilly's annual report


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