2016年7月18日 星期一

NCR Group (NCR) Analysis Result

7/18/2016 11:50:00 下午 Posted by Unknown , , No comments
NCR Group (NYSE: NCR)      
Date: 07/15/2016

Last Close Price: $30.47                            Market Cap: $ 3.8 bil
P/E Ratio: N.A.                                        Fair Value: $20
Dividend Yield: N.A.                                Beta: 1.83 
Basic Description
NCR Corp is a technology company providing products & services enabling businesses to connect, interact & transact with customer. Its products include ATM & financial services software, point of sale devices, self-service kiosks & software applications. 

Historical Stock Prices

Financial Report Analysis


The financial services segment accounts for most revenue. From the operating income by segment, we can see that financial services and hospitality segment have higher operating margin. About 46% of revenue is from U.S. and 31% is from EMEA.

Revenue of NCR group grew modestly. However, operating income decreased from 2014. From 10K of NCR Group, it stated that “During 2015, the Company transferred the UK London pension plan obligations to PIC through the completion of a buy-out of the pension plan, resulting in a settlement of $427 million in 2015.” The pension expenses caused big influence on cost and expense. In addition, NCR has not paid cash dividends historically and it state that NCR group does not anticipate the payment of cash dividends on NCR common stock in the immediate future.


From DuPont analysis, ROA and ROE of 2015 are negative due to negative net margin. Asset Turnover didn’t change much from 2006 to 2015. However, financial leverage is fluctuant along with the time. TTM of financial leverage achieves almost 15 times. As a result, NCR group may have financial risk in the future.
Valuation: Market Multiples 



Valuation: Discount Free Cash Flow

Comments
To sum up, NCR group’s financial position doesn’t seem positive in recent years. Management of NCR indicates that they will develop toward to clouding. However, it didn’t not show on revenue. I think investor should wait and see whether NCR can change situation or not.



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